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Predicting an upcoming recession is like flipping a coin
Predicting an upcoming recession is like flipping a coin

The stock market has been dropping, but it's important to know the stock market isn't very accurate when it comes to predicting recessions. And it sure seems like that's the word being thrown around these days: recession. The fact is, bear markets in stocks lead to recessions only about 53 percent of the time. In other words, the stock market has about the same predictive value for recessions as a simple coin toss. Let that sink in!

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Investment, Money, News, Peek of the WeekLeif HagenAchievement Financial#recession, #cost, #costofliving, #pandemic, #stockmarket, #marketnews, #USmarkets, #shopping, #shortages, #data, #thefed, #federalreserve, #centralbanks, #banks, #bondmarket, #bonds, #stocks, #recovery
Adjusting outlooks after economic developments
Adjusting outlooks after economic developments

The Fed's minutes from their December meeting were released last week and investors found themselves surprised by "the change in tone" for future outlooks. Our Peek of the Week tells the story of the Federal Reserve and how 2020 forced our country to make adjustments to avoid a deep recession or depression, and how we continue to pivot going forward.

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Money, Stock market, Peek of the WeekLeif HagenAchievement Financial#unemployment, #jobs, #americans, #economy, #economicrecovery, #stimulus, #inflation, #thefed, #federalreserve, #employer, #supplyanddemand, #supply, #demand, #wages, #minimumwage, #wagewar, #data, #workers, #financialplanning, #advisor, #mn